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Red68
668014.2
379417.1
469826.8
Blue55
212225.4
162220.4
78959.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50540204060801001206855

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4698
#14
26.81.4
22.123.5
Auto5.2
Teleop17.3
End4.2
red by 1.4
25.40.2
20.020.3
Auto3.7
Teleop15.2
End6.5
Second
3794
#12
17.11.4
15.717.1
Auto4.9
Teleop7.7
End4.5
blue by 3.3
1622
#18
20.40.2
22.622.8
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End3.9
Third
6680
#21
14.22.3
9.812.0
Auto3.8
Teleop7.0
End3.4
red by 4.7
7895
#27
9.40.4
8.99.3
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed