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Red60
469826.8
730115.4
314515.2
Blue64
775413.7
417523.1
189119.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5156204060806064

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4698
#14
26.80.8
23.524.2
Auto5.2
Teleop17.3
End4.2
red by 3.6
23.10.6
21.121.6
Auto4.2
Teleop13.9
End5.0
Second
7301
#22
15.41.2
12.113.2
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End3.5
blue by 4.0
1891
#15
19.40.4
17.918.3
Auto5.0
Teleop10.5
End3.9
Third
3145
#20
15.21.2
13.114.3
Auto3.1
Teleop5.8
End6.3
red by 1.5
7754
#17
13.70.4
13.714.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed10%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
37%HAB Docking oddsEarned70%HAB Docking oddsMissed