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Red62
417523.1
259416.0
501222.0
Blue59
314515.2
156919.6
162220.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6058405070806259

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.10.5
21.622.1
Auto4.2
Teleop13.9
End5.0
red by 2.8
1622
#18
20.40.3
21.922.2
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End3.9
Second
22.00.3
20.721.0
Auto5.2
Teleop14.6
End2.2
red by 2.3
1569
#13
19.60.4
18.318.7
Auto5.5
Teleop5.8
End8.3
Third
16.00.3
14.815.1
Auto2.6
Teleop10.7
End2.6
red by 0.8
3145
#20
15.20.4
14.314.7
Auto3.1
Teleop5.8
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
12%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed83%HAB Docking oddsEarned