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Red64
635820.0
213021.8
587112.9
Blue43
156919.6
78959.4
35629.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55402030506070806443

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.81.0
19.620.6
Auto3.3
Teleop12.2
End6.3
red by 2.1
1569
#13
19.60.4
18.719.1
Auto5.5
Teleop5.8
End8.3
Second
6358
#11
20.00.8
18.619.4
Auto5.3
Teleop11.7
End2.9
red by 10.2
3562
#26
9.80.4
8.89.2
Auto4.3
Teleop3.0
End2.5
Third
5871
#25
12.90.8
13.814.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.8
End3.1
red by 3.5
7895
#27
9.40.4
10.510.9
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsEarned22%HAB Docking oddsEarned