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Red40
78959.4
116021.5
691824.4
Blue86
198334.4
214411.8
635820.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64673040506080901004086

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.41.3
25.824.4
Auto4.0
Teleop17.1
End3.3
blue by 10.0
34.40.8
32.633.4
Auto6.0
Teleop18.6
End9.8
Second
1160
#16
21.51.3
23.522.1
Auto3.0
Teleop15.6
End2.9
red by 1.5
6358
#11
20.00.8
19.420.2
Auto5.3
Teleop11.7
End2.9
Third
7895
#27
9.41.5
10.99.4
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End2.9
blue by 2.3
2144
#23
11.80.8
11.612.4
Auto3.1
Teleop6.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
9%Rocket oddsMissed9%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed63%HAB Docking oddsEarned