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Red57
635820.0
189119.4
156919.6
Blue19
78959.4
259416.0
775413.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524102060805719

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6358
#11
20.00.6
18.819.4
Auto5.3
Teleop11.7
End2.9
red by 4.0
16.01.3
14.313.0
Auto2.6
Teleop10.7
End2.6
Second
1569
#13
19.60.9
15.015.8
Auto5.5
Teleop5.8
End8.3
red by 6.0
7754
#17
13.71.6
14.612.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End5.2
Third
1891
#15
19.40.6
15.416.0
Auto5.0
Teleop10.5
End3.9
red by 10.0
7895
#27
9.42.2
10.07.8
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsMissed54%HAB Docking oddsMissed