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Red16
27096.8
23588.3
760910.5
Blue42
10113.6
93022.7
682316.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32431020405060701642

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7609
#29
10.51.6
10.89.2
Auto3.8
Teleop3.6
End3.0
blue by 12.2
930
#12
22.70.5
15.014.5
Auto3.6
Teleop16.5
End2.5
Second
2358
#31
8.31.6
9.37.7
Auto3.8
Teleop3.2
End1.4
blue by 7.8
6823
#10
16.10.5
11.310.8
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End4.6
Third
2709
#46
6.81.6
10.48.8
Auto1.7
Teleop4.0
End1.1
blue by 6.8
101
#21
13.60.5
14.413.9
Auto5.1
Teleop7.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed