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Red18
373411.7
306710.5
179715.3
Blue31
760910.5
514812.8
593421.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343420253040451831

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1797
#17Sur
15.31.5
12.711.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.9
End2.9
blue by 6.5
21.80.5
13.312.8
Auto3.7
Teleop13.4
End4.6
Second
3734
#42
11.71.5
11.29.7
Auto2.1
Teleop8.0
End1.5
blue by 1.1
5148
#23
12.80.5
10.09.5
Auto3.4
Teleop5.8
End3.6
Third
3067
#27
10.51.5
7.86.3
Auto1.8
Teleop5.2
End3.4
Level
7609
#29Sur
10.50.5
9.28.7
Auto3.8
Teleop3.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed