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Red12
69689.2
201613.1
27096.8
Blue14
76089.7
21512.1
682316.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36271020304050601214

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#45
13.12.5
13.711.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End3.3
blue by 3.0
6823
#10
16.11.3
10.89.5
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End4.6
Second
6968
#48
9.22.5
11.99.4
Auto2.8
Teleop4.6
End1.7
blue by 0.5
7608
#40
9.71.3
6.75.4
Auto3.2
Teleop2.9
End3.6
Third
2709
#46
6.82.5
8.86.3
Auto1.7
Teleop4.0
End1.1
red by 4.7
2151
#47
2.11.3
8.06.7
Auto0.9
Teleop0.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed