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Red42
31107.7
409614.5
93022.7
Blue56
306121.6
478710.3
593421.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4645303540505560654256

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#12
22.70.2
18.818.7
Auto3.6
Teleop16.5
End2.5
red by 0.9
21.81.5
16.718.1
Auto3.7
Teleop13.4
End4.6
Second
4096
#11
14.50.2
15.315.1
Auto2.7
Teleop7.4
End4.4
blue by 7.1
21.61.5
15.917.4
Auto4.5
Teleop12.5
End4.6
Third
3110
#50
7.70.2
9.39.2
Auto2.5
Teleop4.4
End0.8
blue by 2.6
4787
#52
10.31.5
10.111.6
Auto3.3
Teleop3.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed