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Red43
723713.7
409614.5
42929.4
Blue35
429611.0
201613.1
167512.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4042203050604335

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4096
#11
14.50.1
14.714.5
Auto2.7
Teleop7.4
End4.4
red by 1.4
2016
#45
13.10.8
14.113.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End3.3
Second
7237
#20
13.70.1
13.913.7
Auto4.1
Teleop6.0
End3.7
red by 1.2
1675
#28
12.60.8
14.013.2
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End2.1
Third
4292
#25
9.40.1
9.79.5
Auto4.7
Teleop3.1
End1.5
blue by 1.6
4296
#44
11.00.7
11.711.0
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed