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Red43
27257.9
76089.7
179715.3
Blue58
173910.8
10113.6
202214.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264101020305060704358

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1797
#17
15.31.9
11.012.9
Auto3.5
Teleop8.9
End2.9
red by 0.7
2022
#41
14.60.3
14.614.9
Auto3.3
Teleop9.4
End1.9
Second
7608
#40
9.71.9
7.99.8
Auto3.2
Teleop2.9
End3.6
blue by 3.9
101
#21
13.60.3
13.814.1
Auto5.1
Teleop7.1
End1.4
Third
2725
#37
7.91.9
5.47.3
Auto3.0
Teleop4.1
End0.8
blue by 2.9
1739
#24
10.80.3
10.510.8
Auto3.8
Teleop4.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed