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Red56
514812.8
206216.2
306121.6
Blue34
69689.2
203912.2
233822.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48492030406070805634

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.61.1
18.019.1
Auto4.5
Teleop12.5
End4.6
blue by 0.6
22.21.3
22.821.4
Auto3.9
Teleop12.3
End5.9
Second
2062
#19
16.21.0
15.416.4
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End2.4
red by 4.0
2039
#36
12.21.3
13.512.2
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End2.5
Third
5148
#23
12.81.0
11.812.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.8
End3.6
red by 3.6
6968
#48
9.21.2
10.39.1
Auto2.8
Teleop4.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed44%HAB Docking oddsMissed