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Red41
167512.6
27096.8
203912.2
Blue41
173910.8
373411.7
415613.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373501020305060704141

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1675
#28
12.6
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End2.1
blue by 0.9
13.5
Auto4.9
Teleop3.9
End4.7
Second
2039
#36
12.2
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End2.5
red by 0.5
3734
#42
11.7
Auto2.1
Teleop8.0
End1.5
Third
2709
#46
6.8
Auto1.7
Teleop4.0
End1.1
blue by 4.0
1739
#24
10.8
Auto3.8
Teleop4.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed