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Red49
8115.8
270411.8
178122.8
Blue60
425625.1
42128.3
424113.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4148102030607080904960

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1781
#20
22.80.6
15.516.2
Auto5.0
Teleop10.4
End7.4
blue by 2.3
25.11.2
22.924.1
Auto4.7
Teleop14.9
End5.5
Second
81
#12
15.80.8
10.911.7
Auto3.0
Teleop8.4
End4.4
red by 2.3
4241
#27
13.61.2
9.911.1
Auto4.3
Teleop6.1
End3.2
Third
2704
#38
11.80.8
12.813.5
Auto4.2
Teleop3.4
End4.2
red by 3.4
4212
#40
8.31.6
12.714.3
Auto2.1
Teleop4.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsEarned24%HAB Docking oddsMissed