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Red43
746511.0
582222.1
204023.1
Blue56
8115.8
584719.6
464613.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504220306070804356

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.10.5
14.514.0
Auto5.2
Teleop12.2
End5.8
red by 3.5
5847
#14
19.61.3
20.521.9
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End6.8
Second
5822
#16
22.10.4
19.018.6
Auto5.4
Teleop12.3
End4.4
red by 6.3
81
#12
15.81.8
11.713.5
Auto3.0
Teleop8.4
End4.4
Third
7465
#37
11.00.5
13.913.5
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End2.9
blue by 2.3
4646
#31
13.31.3
7.48.7
Auto4.9
Teleop5.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsMissed53%HAB Docking oddsEarned