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Red40
512614.6
464613.3
109421.1
Blue63
465524.6
8115.8
421328.7
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4162102030507080904063

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1094
#21
21.10.2
15.515.7
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End4.9
blue by 7.6
28.70.1
25.926.0
Auto5.9
Teleop16.5
End6.2
Second
5126
#23
14.60.1
14.214.3
Auto5.6
Teleop4.3
End4.6
blue by 10.0
4655
#3Sur
24.60.2
19.219.4
Auto5.2
Teleop11.1
End8.3
Third
4646
#31Sur
13.30.1
8.78.8
Auto4.9
Teleop5.5
End2.9
blue by 2.5
81
#12
15.80.2
13.513.6
Auto3.0
Teleop8.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed55%HAB Docking oddsEarned