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Red40
132921.4
270411.8
431419.1
Blue64
584719.6
178122.8
464514.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4749204060804064

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1329
#30
21.40.3
18.418.1
Auto3.7
Teleop14.1
End3.6
blue by 1.4
1781
#20
22.81.3
17.018.3
Auto5.0
Teleop10.4
End7.4
Second
4314
#24
19.10.5
12.812.3
Auto4.2
Teleop8.6
End6.3
blue by 0.5
5847
#14
19.61.3
21.923.2
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End6.8
Third
2704
#38
11.80.5
13.412.9
Auto4.2
Teleop3.4
End4.2
blue by 2.6
4645
#32
14.41.3
7.58.8
Auto4.0
Teleop4.5
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsEarned64%HAB Docking oddsEarned