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Red59
270411.8
175626.2
409619.7
Blue53
584719.6
544215.1
569017.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54563040506070805953

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.8
21.722.5
Auto5.5
Teleop12.6
End8.1
red by 6.6
5847
#14
19.60.0
23.223.2
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End6.8
Second
4096
#22
19.70.5
16.817.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.3
End6.2
red by 2.4
5690
#26
17.30.0
14.114.2
Auto5.0
Teleop9.3
End3.0
Third
2704
#38
11.80.8
12.913.7
Auto4.2
Teleop3.4
End4.2
blue by 3.3
5442
#36
15.10.0
15.315.4
Auto3.8
Teleop6.9
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
76%HAB Docking oddsEarned54%HAB Docking oddsMissed