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Red47
465524.6
42128.3
32325.6
Blue68
784816.4
204023.1
421328.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6359405070804768

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
323
#25
25.60.9
23.022.2
Auto5.9
Teleop14.2
End5.5
blue by 3.1
28.70.8
26.126.9
Auto5.9
Teleop16.5
End6.2
Second
24.61.4
22.120.7
Auto5.2
Teleop11.1
End8.3
red by 1.4
23.11.4
17.118.5
Auto5.2
Teleop12.2
End5.8
Third
4212
#40
8.31.4
14.713.3
Auto2.1
Teleop4.8
End1.4
blue by 8.1
7848
#13
16.41.4
12.413.8
Auto4.8
Teleop5.0
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
53%HAB Docking oddsMissed42%HAB Docking oddsEarned