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Red73
8115.8
202219.2
369524.9
Blue61
201313.9
208121.3
605519.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635340506070807361

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.90.9
27.628.5
Auto4.5
Teleop12.5
End8.0
red by 3.7
21.31.2
18.519.7
Auto4.8
Teleop9.1
End7.4
Second
2022
#18
19.20.9
16.917.8
Auto3.8
Teleop13.1
End2.3
blue by 0.2
6055
#28
19.30.7
17.218.0
Auto5.2
Teleop11.0
End3.1
Third
81
#12
15.81.4
15.416.9
Auto3.0
Teleop8.4
End4.4
red by 1.9
2013
#33
13.90.7
14.315.1
Auto5.2
Teleop5.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
87%HAB Docking oddsEarned42%HAB Docking oddsEarned