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Red44
128815.2
512614.6
8115.8
Blue36
27096.9
784816.4
270411.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493410203040604436

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81
#12
15.80.2
16.916.6
Auto3.0
Teleop8.4
End4.4
blue by 0.6
7848
#13
16.40.3
13.813.5
Auto4.8
Teleop5.0
End6.7
Second
1288
#15
15.20.1
15.715.5
Auto3.8
Teleop8.7
End2.7
red by 3.4
2704
#38
11.80.3
12.712.5
Auto4.2
Teleop3.4
End4.2
Third
5126
#23
14.60.1
13.613.5
Auto5.6
Teleop4.3
End4.6
red by 7.7
2709
#39
6.90.2
5.85.7
Auto0.9
Teleop3.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsMissed61%HAB Docking oddsEarned