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Red85
32325.6
248122.5
203921.0
Blue59
665117.0
409619.7
8115.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6253405070808559

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
323
#25
25.61.6
22.323.9
Auto5.9
Teleop14.2
End5.5
red by 5.9
4096
#22
19.70.6
18.819.4
Auto4.1
Teleop9.3
End6.2
Second
2481
#10
22.52.6
19.522.2
Auto4.1
Teleop13.7
End4.7
red by 5.5
6651
#35
17.00.6
14.815.4
Auto3.9
Teleop9.8
End3.4
Third
21.01.6
16.618.2
Auto5.6
Teleop10.5
End4.9
red by 5.2
81
#12
15.81.0
16.617.6
Auto3.0
Teleop8.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsEarned65%HAB Docking oddsMissed