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Red49
569017.3
132921.4
424113.6
Blue55
173621.1
202219.2
512614.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5256203040607080904955

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1329
#30
21.40.0
20.720.7
Auto3.7
Teleop14.1
End3.6
red by 0.3
1736
#19
21.10.3
20.019.7
Auto5.4
Teleop11.4
End4.2
Second
5690
#26
17.30.0
15.215.2
Auto5.0
Teleop9.3
End3.0
blue by 1.9
2022
#18
19.20.3
18.217.9
Auto3.8
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Third
4241
#27
13.60.0
13.113.1
Auto4.3
Teleop6.1
End3.2
blue by 1.0
5126
#23
14.60.3
15.114.8
Auto5.6
Teleop4.3
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed