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Red55
175626.2
201313.9
584719.6
Blue49
421328.7
42128.3
512614.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6555304050607080905549

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.5
27.026.4
Auto5.5
Teleop12.6
End8.1
blue by 2.5
28.70.2
28.428.2
Auto5.9
Teleop16.5
End6.2
Second
5847
#14
19.60.4
19.919.5
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End6.8
red by 5.0
5126
#23
14.60.2
14.814.6
Auto5.6
Teleop4.3
End4.6
Third
2013
#33
13.90.4
14.313.9
Auto5.2
Teleop5.0
End3.7
red by 5.6
4212
#40
8.30.3
9.28.9
Auto2.1
Teleop4.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
84%HAB Docking oddsEarned17%HAB Docking oddsMissed