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Red69
784816.4
569017.3
465524.6
Blue65
605519.3
178122.8
109421.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5566304050607080906965

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.61.3
21.522.8
Auto5.2
Teleop11.1
End8.3
red by 1.7
1781
#20
22.80.1
22.422.5
Auto5.0
Teleop10.4
End7.4
Second
5690
#26
17.31.1
15.917.0
Auto5.0
Teleop9.3
End3.0
blue by 3.8
1094
#21
21.10.2
20.921.1
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End4.9
Third
7848
#13
16.41.3
15.116.4
Auto4.8
Teleop5.0
End6.7
blue by 2.9
6055
#28
19.30.1
19.519.7
Auto5.2
Teleop11.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
74%HAB Docking oddsEarned60%HAB Docking oddsEarned