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Red85
173621.1
27096.9
465524.6
Blue50
270411.8
235815.5
464613.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50431020306070808550

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.62.1
22.824.9
Auto5.2
Teleop11.1
End8.3
red by 9.0
2358
#29
15.50.4
15.415.9
Auto3.8
Teleop9.4
End2.4
Second
1736
#19
21.11.9
19.321.1
Auto5.4
Teleop11.4
End4.2
red by 7.8
4646
#31
13.30.4
13.614.1
Auto4.9
Teleop5.5
End2.9
Third
2709
#39
6.91.9
5.16.9
Auto0.9
Teleop3.6
End2.4
blue by 4.9
2704
#38
11.80.5
11.211.8
Auto4.2
Teleop3.4
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
71%HAB Docking oddsEarned29%HAB Docking oddsMissed