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Red46
64815.3
130618.6
204021.2
Blue40
464510.5
16759.0
593416.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6144020801001201404640

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2040
#14
21.20.8
23.422.7
Auto5.1
Teleop11.8
End4.3
red by 5.2
5934
#25
16.00.3
18.017.7
Auto2.3
Teleop10.9
End2.8
Second
1306
#16
18.60.8
19.318.5
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End3.5
red by 8.2
4645
#29
10.50.3
12.812.4
Auto3.7
Teleop2.2
End4.6
Third
648
#9
15.30.8
14.613.9
Auto4.4
Teleop7.2
End3.8
red by 6.3
1675
#32
9.00.3
11.010.7
Auto4.6
Teleop3.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
50%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed