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Red59
220220.0
219424.9
206225.3
Blue32
369520.9
204021.2
544215.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions797502040601001201401605932

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.31.3
25.924.7
Auto3.6
Teleop18.1
End3.6
red by 4.1
2040
#14
21.22.6
27.024.4
Auto5.1
Teleop11.8
End4.3
Second
24.91.3
25.724.4
Auto3.4
Teleop13.6
End7.9
red by 4.0
3695
#11
20.92.6
24.622.0
Auto4.8
Teleop9.1
End6.9
Third
20.01.3
23.221.9
Auto4.7
Teleop11.6
End3.6
red by 4.9
5442
#13
15.12.6
19.116.5
Auto3.5
Teleop5.3
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
77%HAB Docking oddsEarned97%HAB Docking oddsMissed