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Red33
512512.5
427226.3
548426.4
Blue54
164618.9
318013.3
349420.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6956203040506080901003354

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5484
Unranked
26.40.0
26.426.4
Auto5.0
Teleop17.6
End3.8
red by 6.1
3494
Unranked
20.30.0
20.320.3
Auto5.0
Teleop9.8
End5.5
Second
4272
Unranked
26.30.0
26.326.3
Auto5.6
Teleop16.2
End4.5
red by 7.4
1646
Unranked
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto4.1
Teleop12.0
End2.8
Third
5125
Unranked
12.50.0
12.512.5
Auto5.5
Teleop4.8
End2.1
blue by 0.9
3180
Unranked
13.30.0
13.313.3
Auto3.7
Teleop8.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
14%Rocket odds1%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking odds24%HAB Docking odds