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Red49
501025.0
46119.1
219719.1
Blue43
178122.6
152912.4
99866.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67442060801004943

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5010
Unranked
25.00.0
25.025.0
Auto4.8
Teleop17.4
End2.8
red by 2.3
1781
Unranked
22.60.0
22.622.6
Auto5.3
Teleop10.4
End7.0
Second
461
Unranked
19.10.0
19.119.1
Auto5.1
Teleop11.0
End3.1
red by 6.7
1529
Unranked
12.40.0
12.412.4
Auto4.6
Teleop5.9
End2.0
Third
2197
Unranked
19.10.0
19.119.1
Auto4.8
Teleop9.2
End5.1
red by 12.8
9986
Unranked
6.30.0
6.36.3
Auto2.5
Teleop1.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
18%Rocket odds2%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
47%HAB Docking odds24%HAB Docking odds