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Red47
318013.3
348719.8
86827.0
Blue41
518817.7
719819.5
101820.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6361405070804741

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
Unranked
27.00.0
27.027.0
Auto4.7
Teleop17.8
End4.5
red by 6.6
1018
Unranked
20.40.0
20.420.4
Auto5.0
Teleop10.8
End4.6
Second
3487
Unranked
19.80.0
19.819.8
Auto4.6
Teleop12.1
End3.0
red by 0.2
7198
Unranked
19.50.0
19.519.5
Auto4.7
Teleop8.9
End5.9
Third
3180
Unranked
13.30.0
13.313.3
Auto3.7
Teleop8.1
End1.6
blue by 4.4
5188
Unranked
17.70.0
17.717.7
Auto4.7
Teleop10.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket odds4%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking odds48%HAB Docking odds