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Red37
672115.2
219719.1
101820.4
Blue54
394024.7
695620.4
381419.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58682040801001203754

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1018
Unranked
20.40.0
20.420.4
Auto5.0
Teleop10.8
End4.6
blue by 4.3
3940
Unranked
24.70.0
24.724.7
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End5.7
Second
2197
Unranked
19.10.0
19.119.1
Auto4.8
Teleop9.2
End5.1
blue by 1.3
6956
Unranked
20.40.0
20.420.4
Auto6.0
Teleop11.3
End3.1
Third
6721
Unranked
15.20.0
15.215.2
Auto5.4
Teleop7.6
End2.2
blue by 4.0
3814
Unranked
19.20.0
19.219.2
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket odds8%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
54%HAB Docking odds83%HAB Docking odds