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Red24
152912.4
101820.4
582222.1
Blue39
512512.5
745723.8
448516.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585530405070802439

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5822
Unranked
22.10.0
22.122.1
Auto5.4
Teleop12.3
End4.4
blue by 1.7
7457
Unranked
23.80.0
23.823.8
Auto5.0
Teleop12.5
End6.3
Second
1018
Unranked
20.40.0
20.420.4
Auto5.0
Teleop10.8
End4.6
red by 4.2
4485
Unranked
16.10.0
16.116.1
Auto2.8
Teleop10.0
End3.4
Third
1529
Unranked
12.40.0
12.412.4
Auto4.6
Teleop5.9
End2.0
Level
5125
Unranked
12.50.0
12.512.5
Auto5.5
Teleop4.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket odds7%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking odds83%HAB Docking odds