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Red71
174723.5
745422.4
518817.7
Blue56
761718.8
102419.1
82928.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66693040506080901007156

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1747
#21
23.50.6
26.026.6
Auto3.4
Teleop18.6
End1.5
blue by 4.6
829
#14
28.00.7
27.927.2
Auto5.3
Teleop15.4
End7.3
Second
22.40.6
19.720.2
Auto4.9
Teleop13.4
End4.2
red by 3.3
1024
#31
19.10.7
20.219.6
Auto5.1
Teleop10.5
End3.4
Third
5188
#27
17.70.6
16.517.1
Auto4.7
Teleop10.3
End2.7
blue by 1.1
7617
#25
18.80.7
17.717.0
Auto3.9
Teleop9.3
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsEarned4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed84%HAB Docking oddsEarned