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Red70
394028.3
101820.4
492622.7
Blue94
164625.3
394721.7
501028.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7975506070901001107094

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
#11
28.30.7
29.128.4
Auto4.0
Teleop16.9
End7.4
blue by 0.2
28.60.7
26.627.3
Auto4.6
Teleop22.0
End2.0
Second
4926
#18
22.70.7
25.224.5
Auto5.1
Teleop10.2
End7.4
blue by 2.6
1646
#20
25.30.7
24.425.0
Auto5.1
Teleop16.6
End3.5
Third
1018
#19
20.40.7
20.720.0
Auto5.0
Teleop10.8
End4.6
blue by 1.3
3947
#23
21.70.7
20.120.7
Auto4.7
Teleop9.9
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed9%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
95%HAB Docking oddsEarned39%HAB Docking oddsEarned