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Red81
13527.5
101820.4
410325.0
Blue70
394028.3
518817.7
150126.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7976506070901001108170

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#4
27.50.2
29.128.9
Auto5.6
Teleop14.5
End7.4
blue by 0.8
3940
#11
28.30.1
27.827.7
Auto4.0
Teleop16.9
End7.4
Second
4103
#24
25.00.2
25.625.4
Auto4.1
Teleop16.8
End4.1
blue by 1.0
1501
#13
26.00.1
26.726.5
Auto5.2
Teleop12.4
End8.3
Third
1018
#19
20.40.2
20.320.1
Auto5.0
Teleop10.8
End4.6
red by 2.7
5188
#27
17.70.1
17.617.4
Auto4.7
Teleop10.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
9%Rocket oddsEarned4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
80%HAB Docking oddsEarned97%HAB Docking oddsEarned