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Red47
101820.4
695620.4
761718.8
Blue69
349420.3
174120.7
750218.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656550556070754769

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6956
#22
20.41.0
21.620.7
Auto6.0
Teleop11.3
End3.1
blue by 0.2
1741
#17
20.70.5
21.822.4
Auto4.6
Teleop10.7
End5.4
Second
1018
#19
20.41.0
20.119.1
Auto5.0
Teleop10.8
End4.6
red by 0.1
3494
#32
20.30.5
21.622.1
Auto5.0
Teleop9.8
End5.5
Third
7617
#25
18.81.0
19.918.9
Auto3.9
Teleop9.3
End5.6
red by 0.9
7502
#30
18.00.5
17.918.4
Auto5.4
Teleop10.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
9%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
59%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed