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Red74
761718.8
501028.6
427226.3
Blue42
174120.7
102419.1
355917.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions796440601007442

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.60.0
29.129.0
Auto4.6
Teleop22.0
End2.0
red by 7.9
1741
#17
20.71.3
22.421.1
Auto4.6
Teleop10.7
End5.4
Second
26.30.0
26.826.7
Auto5.6
Teleop16.2
End4.5
red by 7.2
1024
#31
19.11.3
20.219.0
Auto5.1
Teleop10.5
End3.4
Third
7617
#25
18.80.0
18.918.8
Auto3.9
Teleop9.3
End5.6
red by 1.8
3559
#29
17.11.3
18.417.2
Auto4.9
Teleop8.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
27%Rocket oddsEarned6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
43%HAB Docking oddsMissed37%HAB Docking oddsEarned