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Red90
394719.0
102421.5
458016.0
Blue101
548423.5
349423.8
286719.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions577020408010090101

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.8
20.721.5
Auto6.1
Teleop12.2
End3.3
blue by 2.3
23.80.5
23.724.3
Auto5.1
Teleop13.1
End5.7
Second
19.00.8
18.219.0
Auto4.3
Teleop9.2
End5.4
blue by 4.5
5484
#14
23.50.5
23.423.9
Auto5.7
Teleop14.8
End3.0
Third
4580
#28
16.00.8
15.216.0
Auto4.1
Teleop7.8
End4.0
blue by 3.4
2867
#26
19.40.5
19.319.8
Auto4.5
Teleop10.9
End4.0