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Red37
540318.6
492621.7
101819.7
Blue43
355919.0
645124.6
750218.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5854203040507080903743

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4926
#16
21.71.4
21.019.6
Auto4.2
Teleop12.3
End5.2
blue by 2.9
6451
#15
24.60.6
20.419.9
Auto4.4
Teleop14.3
End5.9
Second
1018
#19
19.71.4
18.216.8
Auto4.7
Teleop11.7
End3.3
red by 0.7
3559
#17
19.00.6
17.116.5
Auto5.1
Teleop10.4
End3.6
Third
5403
#20
18.61.4
15.914.5
Auto4.1
Teleop12.5
End2.1
red by 0.2
7502
#13
18.40.6
14.013.5
Auto5.0
Teleop9.8
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
43%HAB Docking oddsMissed42%HAB Docking oddsMissed