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Red67
501021.1
594419.4
540318.6
Blue83
645124.6
394719.0
349423.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59653040507080901006783

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5010
#24
21.10.7
23.324.1
Auto4.0
Teleop15.4
End1.8
blue by 3.5
6451
#15
24.61.5
21.422.9
Auto4.4
Teleop14.3
End5.9
Second
5944
#25
19.40.7
17.318.0
Auto4.4
Teleop12.7
End2.3
blue by 4.5
23.81.5
20.822.2
Auto5.1
Teleop13.1
End5.7
Third
5403
#20
18.60.7
15.416.1
Auto4.1
Teleop12.5
End2.1
blue by 0.4
19.01.5
19.020.4
Auto4.3
Teleop9.2
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed80%HAB Docking oddsEarned