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Red52
317621.2
155512.2
349423.8
Blue71
101819.7
318013.3
548423.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59594550556570755271

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.2
22.222.0
Auto5.1
Teleop13.1
End5.7
red by 0.3
5484
#14
23.50.8
23.724.5
Auto5.7
Teleop14.8
End3.0
Second
3176
#10
21.20.2
20.720.4
Auto3.8
Teleop13.9
End3.6
red by 1.5
1018
#19
19.70.8
17.718.5
Auto4.7
Teleop11.7
End3.3
Third
1555
#35
12.20.2
12.712.5
Auto4.8
Teleop4.9
End2.5
blue by 1.1
3180
#29
13.30.8
14.715.5
Auto3.7
Teleop8.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed