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Red68
102421.5
86828.4
769514.3
Blue58
400810.4
355919.0
174726.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64583040507080906858

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#2
28.40.5
28.228.7
Auto4.8
Teleop16.4
End7.3
red by 2.3
26.10.0
26.426.4
Auto3.4
Teleop21.3
End1.5
Second
21.50.5
17.718.2
Auto6.1
Teleop12.2
End3.3
red by 2.5
3559
#17
19.00.0
16.916.8
Auto5.1
Teleop10.4
End3.6
Third
7695
#32
14.30.5
14.314.9
Auto4.3
Teleop6.6
End3.4
red by 3.8
4008
#33
10.40.0
11.811.8
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsEarned14%HAB Docking oddsMissed