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Red59
44716.9
400810.4
86828.4
Blue58
23428.9
540318.6
155512.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585930405070805958

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#2
28.40.3
25.726.0
Auto4.8
Teleop16.4
End7.3
blue by 0.5
234
#4
28.90.1
29.029.1
Auto5.6
Teleop13.9
End9.4
Second
447
#18
16.90.3
16.817.1
Auto4.9
Teleop9.1
End2.9
blue by 1.7
5403
#20
18.60.1
15.715.9
Auto4.1
Teleop12.5
End2.1
Third
4008
#33
10.40.3
12.012.3
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End1.7
blue by 1.8
1555
#35
12.20.1
11.111.2
Auto4.8
Teleop4.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
60%HAB Docking oddsEarned62%HAB Docking oddsMissed