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Red67
102421.5
317621.2
152912.4
Blue57
769514.3
348719.8
286719.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions516220304070806757

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.51.0
17.718.7
Auto6.1
Teleop12.2
End3.3
red by 1.8
3487
#30
19.80.3
21.721.3
Auto4.6
Teleop12.1
End3.0
Second
3176
#10
21.21.0
20.321.3
Auto3.8
Teleop13.9
End3.6
red by 1.8
2867
#26
19.40.3
23.122.8
Auto4.5
Teleop10.9
End4.0
Third
1529
#23
12.41.0
10.611.6
Auto4.6
Teleop5.9
End2.0
blue by 1.8
7695
#32
14.30.3
14.414.0
Auto4.3
Teleop6.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed35%HAB Docking oddsMissed