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Red53
101819.7
102421.5
286719.4
Blue53
349423.8
448516.1
518817.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions636040507080905353

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.5
Auto6.1
Teleop12.2
End3.3
blue by 2.3
23.8
Auto5.1
Teleop13.1
End5.7
Second
1018
#19
19.7
Auto4.7
Teleop11.7
End3.3
red by 2.2
5188
#27
17.5
Auto5.3
Teleop9.1
End3.1
Third
2867
#26
19.4
Auto4.5
Teleop10.9
End4.0
red by 3.3
4485
#31
16.1
Auto2.8
Teleop10.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed33%HAB Docking oddsMissed