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Red56
86828.4
745727.4
174118.2
Blue57
548423.5
349423.8
286719.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions817240601001205657

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#2
28.40.5
29.328.8
Auto4.8
Teleop16.4
End7.3
red by 4.6
23.80.4
24.323.8
Auto5.1
Teleop13.1
End5.7
Second
27.40.5
28.227.7
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End8.4
red by 3.9
5484
#14
23.50.4
23.923.5
Auto5.7
Teleop14.8
End3.0
Third
1741
#21
18.20.5
19.018.6
Auto5.1
Teleop8.5
End4.6
blue by 1.2
2867
#26
19.40.4
19.919.4
Auto4.5
Teleop10.9
End4.0