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Red36
15299.9
317621.7
394719.9
Blue23
386513.2
219715.2
4517.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4436102030405060703623

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.7
16.115.4
Auto4.5
Teleop14.2
End3.0
red by 3.9
45
#41
17.81.3
10.99.7
Auto3.8
Teleop10.8
End3.1
Second
3947
#11
19.90.7
14.914.2
Auto5.2
Teleop9.7
End5.0
red by 4.6
2197
#28
15.21.3
13.912.6
Auto4.3
Teleop8.4
End2.5
Third
1529
#36
9.90.7
11.110.4
Auto4.4
Teleop3.5
End1.9
blue by 3.4
3865
#30
13.21.3
9.68.3
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed