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Red68
23427.5
672112.2
745420.6
Blue28
695614.7
649816.7
174113.5
36%Model gave it64%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41443050606828

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#1
27.52.9
17.120.0
Auto5.4
Teleop14.9
End7.1
red by 10.7
6498
#22
16.71.5
14.613.0
Auto3.2
Teleop10.4
End3.1
Second
20.62.9
10.613.5
Auto4.8
Teleop11.9
End4.0
red by 5.9
6956
#25
14.71.5
13.511.9
Auto2.9
Teleop7.6
End4.3
Third
6721
#13
12.22.9
11.114.0
Auto5.3
Teleop5.1
End1.8
blue by 1.3
1741
#16
13.51.5
13.712.1
Auto5.0
Teleop4.6
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed